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Emerging Risks Blog
Ebola

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Patrick Kelliher

Apologies if this post is a bit belated as I am sure most risk functions will now have Ebola on their radar in light of the recent outbreak in West Africa. As ever the WHO's Global Oubreak Alert and Response Network is providing updates on the situation:

http://www.who.int/csr/don/en/

Some key facts about Ebola:

  • It has a high case fatality rate - up to 90% compared to 60% for the H5N1 strain of bird flu;
  • It can be highly infectious between people (unlike H5N1 currently); and
  • It has an average incubation period of nearly 2 weeks (vs.2-17 days for 5N1) between infection and symptoms emerging, creating uncertainty as to how far the disease as spread.

What is worrying about the current outbreak is that previous outbreaks have generally occurred in remoter parts of DR Congo and Uganda, this outbreak has reached Conakry, the capital of Guinea, with a population of 2m people and airport...

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